GTA 6 EARNING
Industry Analyst Forecast Release Date: November 19, 2026

GTA 6 Day-One Sales & Launch Day Records

What to expect during the first 24 hours of GTA 6 on Thursday, November 19, 2026 across PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S.

Day-One Launch Day Forecast
Analyst Consensus

Grand Theft Auto VI is projected to bring in $1.6B to $2.1B in sales on day one, selling 18M to 24M copies. This will more than double GTA 5's 2013 world record of $800 million.

Expected Day 1 Sales
$1.6B – $2.1B
Copies Sold Day 1
18.0M – 24.0M
GTA V 2013 Record
$800.0 Million
Growth Over GTA 5
2.0x – 2.6x
Combines ~11.7M pre-orders with 6M to 12M opening-day digital downloads and retail sales.
Higher average price ($98 vs $60 in 2013) produces significantly more revenue per player.
Standalone story launch with no multiplayer microtransactions on day one.
EXPECTED DAY-ONE SALES
$1.6B – $2.1B

Consensus estimate from gaming industry analysts modeling digital and retail checkout sales.

Source: DFC Intelligence / Piper Sandler
EXPECTED DAY-ONE COPIES
18.0M – 24.0M Copies

Combines ~11.7M converted pre-orders with 6M to 12M launch day store purchases.

Target: ~20% of all PS5 and Xbox owners
GTA 5 RECORD (2013)
$800,000,000

GTA 5 made $800M (11.21M copies at $59.99) on Sept 17, 2013, setting the Guinness World Record.

GTA 6 will be 2.0x to 2.6x bigger

How GTA 6 Will Reach $2 Billion on Day One

When Grand Theft Auto V released on September 17, 2013, it made $800 million in 24 hours — certified by Guinness World Records as the fastest-selling entertainment product in history. Thirteen years later, GTA 6 is on track to more than double that record.

Three simple reasons explain why GTA 6 will easily beat GTA 5's opening:

  • Higher Average Price ($98 vs. $60): In 2013, copies cost $60. In 2026, the standard game is $80, and nearly 9 out of 10 pre-orders bought the $100 Ultimate Edition. That means Rockstar earns +63% more money per copy.
  • Instant Digital Downloads: In 2013, 95% of buyers waited in line at physical midnight launches. In 2026, over 10 million players will pre-download the game directly to their PS5 or Xbox and unlock it at midnight instantly.
  • Over $1.1 Billion Already Pre-Ordered: Because 11.68 million copies are already pre-ordered, Rockstar only needs around 6 million new buyers on launch day to cross the $1.6 billion mark.

Projected 24-Hour Launch Day Timeline

← Scroll table horizontally on mobile →
Time (UTC) What Happens Total Copies Sold Total Sales Generated Status
Hour 0 (00:00 UTC) Digital pre-loads unlock instantly across PlayStation and Xbox stores worldwide 11.68 Million (Pre-orders) $1.142 Billion Pre-Order Base
Hour 6 (Europe Morning) European retail stores open; digital download rush continues across Europe 13.80 Million $1.350 Billion Forecast
Hour 12 (Americas Midday) North American stores open; retail copies collected across the US and Canada 16.50 Million $1.613 Billion Break-Even Point ($1.2B)
Hour 18 (Americas Evening) Peak evening gaming hours across North and South America 19.20 Million $1.877 Billion Forecast
Hour 24 (End of Day 1) First 24 hours complete across all global timezones 18.0M – 24.0M Copies $1.60B – $2.10 Billion Consensus Target

Frequently Asked Questions

How much money is GTA 6 expected to make on Day One?

Gaming industry analysts forecast that Grand Theft Auto VI will generate between $1.60 billion and $2.10 billion in sales within its first 24 hours on November 19, 2026.

How many copies will GTA 6 sell on its first day?

Analysts estimate opening 24-hour sales of 18 to 24 million copies worldwide on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, boosted by over 11.68 million pre-orders.

What was GTA 5’s Day-One sales record in 2013?

On September 17, 2013, Grand Theft Auto V generated $800 million (about 11.21 million copies at $60) in its first 24 hours on PS3 and Xbox 360, setting an official Guinness World Record.

Will GTA 6 break the all-time entertainment day-one record?

Yes. At an expected $1.6B to $2.1B, GTA 6 is projected to more than double GTA 5’s 2013 record and beat every movie box office opening and video game launch in history.

Historical Sales Comparison

GTA 6 vs. Other Big Game Launches

Comparing GTA 6's predicted launch sales with Grand Theft Auto V, Red Dead Redemption 2, and Call of Duty.

Verified with official company reports & Guinness World Records

Launch Sales Comparison (Millions of Dollars USD)

Comparing First 24 to 72 Hours
GTA 6 (Predicted First Week) 2026 $2,850M ($2.85B Expected)
GTA 6 First Week: $2.5B – $3.2B
GTA 6 (Predicted First 24 Hours) 2026 $1,850M ($1.85B Expected)
Day 1: $1.6B – $2.1B
Grand Theft Auto V (First 3 Days, Sept 2013) $1,000M ($1.00B)
$1.0B (3 Days)
Grand Theft Auto V (First 24 Hours, 2013) $800M
$800M (Day 1)
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II (First 3 Days, 2022) $800M
$800M (3 Days)
Red Dead Redemption 2 (First Weekend, Oct 2018) $725M
$725M (Weekend)
Crimson Desert (First Week, March 2026) $280M (2.0M)
$280M
← Swipe horizontally to view full table →
Game & Release Date First 24 Hours Revenue Opening Week Revenue Day 1 Copies Sold Price Per Game Source
GTA 6 (Nov 19, 2026 Predicted) $1.6B – $2.1B $2.5B – $3.2B 18M – 24M Copies $97.79 avg Analyst Forecast
Grand Theft Auto V (Sept 17, 2013) $800,000,000 ($800M) $1,000,000,000 (3 Days) 11.21 Million Copies $59.99 Official Guinness Record
Red Dead Redemption 2 (Oct 26, 2018) Not announced for Day 1 $725,000,000 (Weekend) ~10.0 Million (Est) $59.99 / $79.99 Take-Two Press Release
Crimson Desert (March 19, 2026) ~$140,000,000 ~$280,000,000 (Week 1) 2.0 Million Copies $69.99 Circana Retail Data
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II (Oct 28, 2022) Not announced for Day 1 $800,000,000 (3 Days) ~11.4 Million (Est) $69.99 Activision Press Release
*Crimson Desert (Pearl Abyss) released in March 2026 and sold 6M copies by June, providing the closest recent 2026 gaming comparison. All figures shown in US Dollars (USD).

What You'll Find on GTA6Earning.com

Explore our dedicated, deep-dive authority hubs tracking every commercial facet of Grand Theft Auto VI with verified corporate filings and telemetry.

Tracked

Pre-Order Sales Tracker

Tracking $1.14B in pre-orders and 11.68M copies sold before launch.

Forecast

Day-One Launch Records

Predicted first 24-hour sales of $1.6B to $2.1B worldwide.

Forecast

Week-One Sales Predictions

First 7-day sales predictions, 28M–35M copies, and store numbers.

Forecast

Month-One & Lifetime Sales

First 30-day benchmarks and multi-year sales forecasts.

Official

Total Revenue Tracker

Total player spending compared to what Take-Two actually earns.

Official

GTA 6 vs. Take-Two Total Revenue

The difference between game box sales and total company financial reports.

Official

Take-Two Earnings Calls & Dates

Schedule of financial reports and quotes from CEO Strauss Zelnick.

Forecast

Budget & Break-Even Calculator

How GTA 6 will make back its estimated $1.2B production budget.

Tracked

PlayStation 5 vs. Xbox Split

PS5 (~77%) vs Xbox (~23%) sales and debunking the 8:1 rumor.

Tracked

Digital Downloads vs. Boxed Copies

92% digital downloads, download codes in boxes, and no used discs.

Official

GTA 6 vs. GTA 5 Comparison

Head-to-head comparison against GTA 5's $800M first day and $1B 3-day records.

Official

vs. Other Record Launches

Comparing GTA 6 with Crimson Desert, Red Dead 2, and movie records.

Tracked

Average Price Paid Per Copy

Why the average price is $97.79 because 89% of buyers chose Ultimate ($100).

Debunked

Fake Rumors & Fact-Checks

Checking the facts on the 39M copies hoax, $150 price rumor, and crypto claims.

Official

Take-Two Stock Tracker

NASDAQ: TTWO stock price, Wall Street ratings, and company targets.