GTA 6 EARNING
First Week Forecast First 7 Days Sales Model

GTA 6 First Week Sales & Records

Predicting sales numbers and player spending across the first seven days of release (November 19 to November 26, 2026).

First Week Sales Highlights
7-Day Forecast

GTA 6 is projected to make between $2.5B and $3.2B in its first 7 days, selling 28M to 35M copies worldwide. This is more than 2.5 times larger than GTA 5's first week in 2013.

Expected 7-Day Sales
$2.5B – $3.2B
Expected Copies Sold
28M – 35M Copies
GTA V Benchmark
$1.15 Billion (2013)
Growth vs GTA 5
2.5x – 2.8x Bigger
Captures the huge Thanksgiving and Black Friday holiday shopping surge.
Over 30% of all PS5 and Xbox console owners are expected to own the game within 7 days.
Breaks the all-time 7-day sales record for any entertainment product in history.
EXPECTED 7-DAY SALES
$2.5B – $3.2B

Expected total player spending worldwide across PS5 and Xbox Series X/S.

Source: Wall Street Analyst Consensus
EXPECTED 7-DAY COPIES
28M – 35M Copies

Represents roughly 30% to 35% of all active PS5 and Xbox systems on the planet.

Consoles: ~95M Active Systems
GTA 5 BENCHMARK (2013)
$1.0B in 3 Days

GTA 5 reached $1.0B in 3 days in 2013; GTA 6 is projected to cross $2.0B in that same time.

Growth: +150% Dollar Increase

Why GTA 6 Sales Will Keep Soaring After Day One

Most video games see their biggest sales on day one, followed by a steep drop. But Grand Theft Auto releases are different: viral buzz, streamer reactions, and word-of-mouth keep sales surging for weeks.

Three big factors will drive GTA 6's first week:

  • The Holiday Shopping Weekend: Launching on Thursday, November 19 leads right into the biggest shopping weekend of the year (Black Friday and Cyber Monday).
  • Streaming & Social Buzz: Live streams on YouTube, Twitch, and TikTok will reach hundreds of millions of viewers, convincing hesitant gamers to buy right away.
  • Console Hardware Bundles: Stores will sell new PS5 and Xbox consoles bundled with GTA 6, bringing millions of new console owners straight into the game.

Projected Day-by-Day Sales Ramp (First 7 Days)

← Scroll table horizontally on mobile →
Day / Date Phase Copies Sold That Day Total Copies Total Player Spend Status
Day 1 • Nov 19 Launch Day & Pre-order Unlocks 20.00 Million 20.00 Million $1.956 Billion Opening Surge
Day 2 • Nov 20 Friday Evening Weekend Rush 3.80 Million 23.80 Million $2.327 Billion Forecast
Day 3 • Nov 21 Peak Saturday Gaming 3.20 Million 27.00 Million $2.640 Billion 72-Hour Mark
Day 4 • Nov 22 Sunday Casual & Secondary Markets 2.10 Million 29.10 Million $2.846 Billion Forecast
Day 5 • Nov 23 Pre-Thanksgiving Store Restocks 1.30 Million 30.40 Million $2.973 Billion Forecast
Day 6 • Nov 24 Digital Word-of-Mouth Wave 1.10 Million 31.50 Million $3.080 Billion Forecast
Day 7 • Nov 25 First 7 Days Total 1.00 Million 32.50 Million ~$3.178 Billion 7-Day Consensus

Frequently Asked Questions

How much money will GTA 6 make in its first week?

Gaming industry analysts forecast that Grand Theft Auto VI will generate between $2.50 billion and $3.20 billion in sales across its opening seven days (November 19 to November 26, 2026).

How many copies will GTA 6 sell in its first week?

Analysts estimate first-week sales of 28 to 35 million copies worldwide on PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X/S, representing roughly a third of all console owners on earth.

How does this compare to GTA 5’s first week in 2013?

In September 2013, GTA 5 generated $1.0 billion in its first 3 days and about $1.15 billion in its first week (~16.5M copies). GTA 6 is expected to make roughly 2.5 to 2.8 times more money.

Why will Thanksgiving shopping help GTA 6 sales?

Releasing on Thursday, November 19, 2026 leads directly into Black Friday and Cyber Monday shopping weekends, driving massive game and console sales.

Interactive Calculator

Break-Even & Profit Calculator

See how many copies GTA 6 needs to sell to cover its estimated $1.2B budget after store cuts.

Based on $97.79 average price per copy
QUICK EXAMPLES:
25.0M Copies

How the Math Works

Average Price Paid Per Game: $97.79 / copy
Estimated Development & Marketing Cost: $1,200,000,000 ($1.2B)
Sony & Microsoft Store Fee (32% cut): 32.0%
What Take-Two Keeps Per Copy: ~$66.50 / copy (68%)

Estimated Financial Results

Live Calculations
TOTAL MONEY SPENT BY PLAYERS:
$2,444,750,000
Total revenue collected from digital and retail store checkouts.
WHAT TAKE-TWO ACTUALLY EARNS:
$1,662,430,000
Revenue kept by the game publisher after store fees are deducted.
BUDGET RECOVERY PROGRESS ($1.2B COST) 138.5%
138.5% RECOVERED (+$462.4M PROFIT)
Profitable past the break-even point (~18.0 million copies required).
*Single-player game sales only. Does not include any future online microtransactions.
Historical Sales Comparison

GTA 6 vs. Other Big Game Launches

Comparing GTA 6's predicted launch sales with Grand Theft Auto V, Red Dead Redemption 2, and Call of Duty.

Verified with official company reports & Guinness World Records

Launch Sales Comparison (Millions of Dollars USD)

Comparing First 24 to 72 Hours
GTA 6 (Predicted First Week) 2026 $2,850M ($2.85B Expected)
GTA 6 First Week: $2.5B – $3.2B
GTA 6 (Predicted First 24 Hours) 2026 $1,850M ($1.85B Expected)
Day 1: $1.6B – $2.1B
Grand Theft Auto V (First 3 Days, Sept 2013) $1,000M ($1.00B)
$1.0B (3 Days)
Grand Theft Auto V (First 24 Hours, 2013) $800M
$800M (Day 1)
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II (First 3 Days, 2022) $800M
$800M (3 Days)
Red Dead Redemption 2 (First Weekend, Oct 2018) $725M
$725M (Weekend)
Crimson Desert (First Week, March 2026) $280M (2.0M)
$280M
← Swipe horizontally to view full table →
Game & Release Date First 24 Hours Revenue Opening Week Revenue Day 1 Copies Sold Price Per Game Source
GTA 6 (Nov 19, 2026 Predicted) $1.6B – $2.1B $2.5B – $3.2B 18M – 24M Copies $97.79 avg Analyst Forecast
Grand Theft Auto V (Sept 17, 2013) $800,000,000 ($800M) $1,000,000,000 (3 Days) 11.21 Million Copies $59.99 Official Guinness Record
Red Dead Redemption 2 (Oct 26, 2018) Not announced for Day 1 $725,000,000 (Weekend) ~10.0 Million (Est) $59.99 / $79.99 Take-Two Press Release
Crimson Desert (March 19, 2026) ~$140,000,000 ~$280,000,000 (Week 1) 2.0 Million Copies $69.99 Circana Retail Data
Call of Duty: Modern Warfare II (Oct 28, 2022) Not announced for Day 1 $800,000,000 (3 Days) ~11.4 Million (Est) $69.99 Activision Press Release
*Crimson Desert (Pearl Abyss) released in March 2026 and sold 6M copies by June, providing the closest recent 2026 gaming comparison. All figures shown in US Dollars (USD).

What You'll Find on GTA6Earning.com

Explore our dedicated, deep-dive authority hubs tracking every commercial facet of Grand Theft Auto VI with verified corporate filings and telemetry.

Tracked

Pre-Order Sales Tracker

Tracking $1.14B in pre-orders and 11.68M copies sold before launch.

Forecast

Day-One Launch Records

Predicted first 24-hour sales of $1.6B to $2.1B worldwide.

Forecast

Week-One Sales Predictions

First 7-day sales predictions, 28M–35M copies, and store numbers.

Forecast

Month-One & Lifetime Sales

First 30-day benchmarks and multi-year sales forecasts.

Official

Total Revenue Tracker

Total player spending compared to what Take-Two actually earns.

Official

GTA 6 vs. Take-Two Total Revenue

The difference between game box sales and total company financial reports.

Official

Take-Two Earnings Calls & Dates

Schedule of financial reports and quotes from CEO Strauss Zelnick.

Forecast

Budget & Break-Even Calculator

How GTA 6 will make back its estimated $1.2B production budget.

Tracked

PlayStation 5 vs. Xbox Split

PS5 (~77%) vs Xbox (~23%) sales and debunking the 8:1 rumor.

Tracked

Digital Downloads vs. Boxed Copies

92% digital downloads, download codes in boxes, and no used discs.

Official

GTA 6 vs. GTA 5 Comparison

Head-to-head comparison against GTA 5's $800M first day and $1B 3-day records.

Official

vs. Other Record Launches

Comparing GTA 6 with Crimson Desert, Red Dead 2, and movie records.

Tracked

Average Price Paid Per Copy

Why the average price is $97.79 because 89% of buyers chose Ultimate ($100).

Debunked

Fake Rumors & Fact-Checks

Checking the facts on the 39M copies hoax, $150 price rumor, and crypto claims.

Official

Take-Two Stock Tracker

NASDAQ: TTWO stock price, Wall Street ratings, and company targets.